by A Thing of Eternity » Mon Feb 08, 2010 5:04 pm
Alright, just realized that 5 months have gone past since my last update instead of the usual 4, so I'd better get on this!
DN is 44 months old, and Jacurutu is 24 months old. Here are the totals:
DN Total:
Posts: 51157
Members: 1367
Jacurutu total:
Posts: 73500
Members: 285
Here are some averages (rough figures of course, and bear in mind that these are averaged over the entire life of each site):
DN = 38.75 Posts per Day (down 3.6 since my last comparison, down 15.62 since my first comparison which was 17 months ago)
Jacurutu = 102.08 Posts per Day (down 6.28 since last comparison, up 6.72 since first comparison) This drop can probably be partially attributed to the holiday season, which saw a big drop for us, as well as the loss of at least one major poster (GamePlayer) as well as another having been MIA for quite some time (SandRider).
Average posts per member:
DN = 37.42 (down 1.33 since last checkup)
Jacurutu = 257.89 (up 4.75 since last checkup)
Now, remember that since they are so much older than us that their averages are much more stable than ours.
The last 5 months:
Jacurutu total posts = 11734
Jacurutu total posts per day = 78.23 (down a whopping 43.45 from last check, likely due in part to what I said earlier, but it could just also be some genuine slowdown)
DN total posts = 1585
DN total posts per day = 10.57 (down 0.90 from last time)
So, both our sites took a hit, but they are winning in so far as average losses go. That said, we're still utterly destroying them for total activity.
We've had 7.4 X as many posts as them in the last 5 months (last check we had 10 X as many).
So, they are still slowing down, despite Freak's return to their site they continue to be less active every month. Also, this period marks our first ever significant slow down, which was much worse than theirs for this period. Forums have their ups and downs of course, so we can hope that this is a short lived drop in posts (DN has no such hope, as for 17 months, and likely much longer, they have seen consistant drops)
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At Freak's request I'm going to attempt to look at how his return to DN has effected their activity.
He is responsible for 203 posts since he returned 3 months ago, a massive 13% of all posts in the last 5 months. Considering that he also started several long-ish arguments, and that the majority of his posts had at least 1 direct response (but most that I saw had more like 5 or 6), it's not unreasonable in my opinion to guess that he's directly generated at least 2 posts that would never have been made for each of his posts, which means (if I'm correct, feel free to dispute my assumptions here) that he is directly responsible for 40% of their posts in the last 5 months.
The last 5 months saw them loose about 10% of posts per day compared to the previous 4 months. Without Freak they may have lost as much as 50% of their posts compared to the last period.
